This weekend, we have a card at Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate contests out there with this Fight Night card, which is uncommon for these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entry and pays $20k to 1st. That’s the main GPP I’ll be chasing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and single entry GPPs too. However, this week DraftKings has two competitions for trips out to Vegas to see the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Fights all, hotel, and flight paid for. The floor seats competition is a $33 entrance and the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entrance. I am going to have to take a few shots at that too. Additionally, DraftKings simply released a contest for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry having a massive $100,000 to 1st place. That’s unquestionably the greatest prize we’ve ever seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to take some extra shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this week in Addition to my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your safest win on the card and I think she gets this fight ended early. This is where I am starting my money LUs this week. Just give me the -1100 favorite who is being fed an easy win here, for my cash games. I really do like a lot of the top favorites on this card, I just are the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she is good in both formats, but she will most likely be chalky in GPPs, therefore cash games are the ideal place to get your Souza investment nowadays. Take this win, and then find others and you need to be good in money games.
GPP play of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I am a big Charles»Do Bronx» Oliveira fan, and he’s a few of my favorites submissions in UFC history. I think we could see another awesome one here. This battle seems simple to call. Do Bronx will start looking for the early takedown and if he can get it then he likely gets a 1st round sub. If that happens he must lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty confident in being the results of the struggle, so that is why he is my GPP drama of this week. He’s also my GPP play of the week, and not my Cash play of the week for a reason. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he’ll probably quit and get finished himself with strikes. I don’t like that risk of a low floor because of my own cash LU, so I prefer Souza there. But in GPPs I like saving the 200 and going down to Do Bronx.
Underdog drama of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders more if he was not taking this fight on short notice, and when it was not in Brazil. But he can have a very clear route to success here and that’s by knocking outside Santos who doesn’t possess a great chin. Anders could also opt for takedowns in this fight and he can win with some tough GNP too. At $7.6k he’ll almost surely end up on the winning LU if he is able to acquire the KO. This is the main event, so he will have 5 rounds to work with. I do think that is a solid matchup for Anders, however he must be competitive and never hang out on the exterior. When he hangs out to the outside too long Santos will eat him up with kisses and it might be a short night for Anders. I will select him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it done in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you can get your other five spots correct as well.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of the week on here, I was very wrong and he scored over 100 points. If this happens here, then so be it. But I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a 9.2k salary from a guy who doesn’t throw several strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points out of Alvey when I roster him and the only way get caught that is with a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to invest my money in it.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on every struggle, my personal approaches & suggestions, and also my pick outlook for every fight then you can find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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