NBA Point Spread and Betting Diagnosis
Phoenix is only 11-40 complete this year, with four wins in 25 attempts away from home. In general, the Suns have retained a lot of their games close with an 11-14 record from the spread as the visiting team. They are only 2-7 ATS this year and 13-28 ATS in their last 41 against divisional opponents.
The Lakers are 15-11 in their home floor up to now this year. Overall, they’re 20-27 against the spread, including a 9-15 record against the spread at home. Oddly enough, they’re just 7-17 ATS when facing teams with a losing record. They have won and covered seven of the last ten meetings between the groups, however.
One thing we know for certain is that Phoenix has had a extremely tough time slowing down its competitors this year. The Suns are have allowed at least 120 points in backend losses, while giving up 111 points or more in each of the past seven losses. Devin Booker and Kelly Oubre Jr. have done their very best to carry Phoenix despite their poor defense. But despite Booker averaging 25.2 points per game and Oubre averaging 17.2 points per game over the previous seven days, the Suns haven’t been able to snap out of their funk.
One of their most important concerns right now is they are playing with no Deandre Ayton, T.J. Warren and De’Anthony Melton. That’s just two of their best few point-getters while Melton had become the team’s top point guard. It is a great deal to overcome to get a team that was terrible to start with.
Los Angeles Lakers
The challenge for the Lakers on Sunday night is that they may be without a lot more ability besides James. They’re hoping Kyle Kuzma is ready to proceed after he missed Saturday’s clinic and is considered a game-time decision for Sunday. Bear in mind, the staff is currently without Lonzo Ball. James, Kuzma and Ball are three of the top four players on the team in terms of minutes played.
That usually means the Lakers will need men Brandon Ingram and Ivica Zubac to take the load — even when Kuzma plays. Ingram has averaged 19.3 points per game over the past week but he has largely been a disappointment this year. He’s got a PER of just 11.9. Zubac has awarded the group a shot in the arm as he’s averaged 17.8 points and 7.8 rebounds in his past four contests.
There’s no question that the Lakers are fighting and that they’ll be shorthanded. However, losses in the home to the Phoenix Suns — who is equally shorthanded — are inexcusable. Look for the Lakers to win but the Suns to pay.
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